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[–] 2 pts

30k participants? damn thats a big turnout... So if its .1% chance overexertion kills a vaxtard that means 30 people will die. I think thats a reasonable figure but im sure atleast half of those will pull out early due to some totally completely unrelated complication.

15, im going with 15, Mainstream media will either report "Global warming kills 15 athletes, are white people doing enough?" or "15 marathon runners in peak physical condition die to vaccine, and heres why its actually a good thing" spoiler more immigration.

[–] 1 pt

.1% would be 300. 1/10 of 1% would be 30..... I'm still taking the over.