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In my case I'd be holding for 6-12 months, then either converting back to fiat or buying more bitcoin.

I'm treating bitcoin as an inflation hedge for excess cash I'd otherwise keep in a bank account for some TBD remodeling projects, not for frequent transactions. If this means I end up paying income tax rates instead of LTCG rates due to same-year recognition of gains that's fine, as I'd rather pay taxes on gains than guarantee losses to inflation.

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Either exchange should serve your needs easily. But you still might lose money with a hard 12 month time limit. There have been 12 month periods where bitcoin lost value. The

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Good point. It's not a hard limit, more of a ballpark. If bitcoin plunges I wouldn't have any issues riding out the volatility.