I think it might be an attack on one of US bases in the region, there's more than enough of them. Sob stories about young soldiers getting killed, there you go.
This is also my "other" selection. Some flavor of radical insurgent group which is most certainly and definitely without-a-doubt backed by Iran, attacks a small contingent of American expeditionary force with 10 or so American casualties, and the flag-draped caskets are then wallpapered nonstop on cable news until Trump declares war on Iran.
"If we don't do something we might risk another 9/11, and we will never let that happen again on American soil! Now go forth and die for Israel or you love 9/11!"
Zognald The Based
I wouldn't be surprised if it played out something like this.
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