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Reposted for others who may be interested.

Is civil war coming?

Yes.

The federal government's experts say 'no'.

The federal government doesn't think so either. They're just shoring up their 'win'.

The experts and advisors even say 'no'.

And the federal government are likely very mistaken.

Whats going on is the left is about to betray the unions, because the country is broke. I'll put a 70% probability on that. It'll be called "the great betrayal."

Likely they'll use the old union busting playbook, and the dems will also borrow tactics from their adjunct party, the republicans. The republicans will soon begin to say "why do we need police unions if they don't protect us? Why do we need teachers unions if they refuse to work?"

And then in every state the 'right' will be dismantling said unions. The 'left' will then throw its hands up and claim "gosh we tried to stop them, but the republicans just hate the middle and lower class! They're blocking us at every turn!"

The establishment will then abandon the dying wounded democratic party, allowing the DSA to take over, and we'll get a left-wing equivalent of hitler.

Maybe AOC.

The left has control of the government, but not their own party. Thats the setup for someone else to now come in and wear the corpse of the leftwing as a funny hat and declare themselves pope for life comrades in chief.

This will not go over well, at all. Which is why they're purging the ranks of the military as fast as possible.

And why the chauvin trial, unlike all the other police trials, will probably see chauvin convicted. They need the coup de grace for police demoralization, and the other campaigns over 2019-2020 only went so far. They got the right to split down the middle on support of the police, but not to totally give up support for them.

What the establishment now needs is to have every remaining 'good cop' walk off the job on their own instead. They'll likely announce a pension/401k/social security collapse or "massive cyberhack" that crashes that system, and leads to all the money being stolen, and blame it on iran or russia. A significant portion of the right relies on social security and pensions (retirees, guys in their late 30s-40s working towards building a retirement), so this will instantly flip them to supporting the anti-russia/anti-iran narrative.

This has to happen within 1-2 years otherwise the accelerating institutional portfolio diversification into other assets, PMs, crypto, real estate, will lead to a soft landing, killing any momentum that could do away with the police system.

Without that narrative, the federal government doesn't survive, because the public ire, on both sides, is focused now on the political parties, which people have begun to view as proxies for the unelected portion of the federal government. And theres a real risk when the markets seize up again, all things being equal, that the overpumped stockmarket collapses on its own with bad timing, leading to the ire of the public being redirected from each other (which is already slowly starting to happen), and away from the federal government, to, not merely wallstreet, but the banks themselves.

I would love this state of affairs to unfold, and lets hope the state is too stupid to take the initiative, letting it collapse organically and fucking them in the process--instead of choosing the date and time to bring the entire economy down in a controlled manner. The great reset, or "soft landing" variety of this has failed, and the "bigger badder outbreak next summer" narrative has already failed, and they just don't know it yet, but I won't explain why here because I don't want to give $15/hr glowfags any ideas, but I see the writing on the wall for that plandemic already, and how it will be received by the public.

It's not gonna work out the way they think its gonna.

Reposted for others who may be interested. Is civil war coming? Yes. The federal government's experts say 'no'. The federal government doesn't think so either. They're just shoring up their 'win'. The experts and advisors even say 'no'. And the federal government are likely very mistaken. Whats going on is the left is about to betray the unions, because the country is broke. I'll put a 70% probability on that. It'll be called "the great betrayal." Likely they'll use the old union busting playbook, and the dems will also borrow tactics from their adjunct party, the republicans. The republicans will soon begin to say "why do we need police unions if they don't protect us? Why do we need teachers unions if they refuse to work?" And then in every state the 'right' will be dismantling said unions. The 'left' will then throw its hands up and claim "gosh we tried to stop them, but the republicans just hate the middle and lower class! They're blocking us at every turn!" The establishment will then abandon the dying wounded democratic party, allowing the DSA to take over, and we'll get a left-wing equivalent of hitler. Maybe AOC. The left has control of the government, but not their own party. Thats the setup for someone else to now come in and wear the corpse of the leftwing as a funny hat and declare themselves ~~pope for life~~ *comrades in chief.* This will not go over well, at all. Which is why they're purging the ranks of the military as fast as possible. And why the chauvin trial, unlike all the other police trials, will probably see chauvin convicted. They need the coup de grace for police demoralization, and the other campaigns over 2019-2020 only went so far. They got the right to split down the middle on support of the police, but not to totally give up support for them. What the establishment now needs is to have every remaining 'good cop' walk off the job on their own instead. They'll likely announce a pension/401k/social security collapse or "massive cyberhack" that crashes that system, and leads to all the money being stolen, and blame it on iran or russia. A significant portion of the right relies on social security and pensions (retirees, guys in their late 30s-40s working towards building a retirement), so this will instantly flip them to supporting the anti-russia/anti-iran narrative. This has to happen within 1-2 years otherwise the accelerating institutional portfolio diversification into other assets, PMs, crypto, real estate, will lead to a soft landing, killing any momentum that could do away with the police system. Without that narrative, the federal government doesn't survive, because the public ire, on both sides, is focused now on the political parties, which people have begun to view as proxies for the unelected portion of the federal government. And theres a real risk when the markets seize up again, all things being equal, that the overpumped stockmarket collapses on its own with bad timing, leading to the ire of the public being redirected from each other (which is already slowly starting to happen), and away from the federal government, to, not merely wallstreet, but the banks themselves. I would love this state of affairs to unfold, and lets hope the state is too stupid to take the initiative, letting it collapse organically and fucking them in the process--instead of choosing the date and time to bring the entire economy down in a controlled manner. The great reset, or "soft landing" variety of this has failed, and the "bigger badder outbreak next summer" narrative has already failed, and they just don't know it yet, but I won't explain why here because I don't want to give $15/hr glowfags any ideas, but I see the writing on the wall for that plandemic already, and how it will be received by the public. It's not gonna work out the way they think its gonna.

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because the public ire, on both sides, is focused now on the political parties, which people have begun to view as proxies for the unelected portion of the federal government.

Yes. And I see this as happening because people have basically burnt out on fighting each other. No one, except controlled elements are showing up. The left only shows up to get paid. The right only shows up to fight in their own backyards or when whipped up by their guys on the right. But the words out now, and the trump effect is played out, and the FBI is a smothering blanket on any rightwing enthusiasm anyway. The right will fight when things get real enough, but not on the governments timing, not when the government wants them to or needs them to for their nightly-news federal propaganda narrative. No one in any significant number is going to walk into a dumb trap planted by some diversity hire thinly veiled mossad working or ADL 'fellow travelers' working for the FBI as literal spies and what amount to political police.

The left can't lean on them without provoking the public even further, so they should lean on local and state police instead. The problem is local and state police and police unions, stated support for MAGA/the right, and so they can't be counted as a reliable element in the federal government et al's plots, and reliability is important because if they're not carrying their weight, or sentiment joins the public then the left loses the last force-based institution supporting it besides the FBI. And because the police unions have to be removed due to the cost, and because it interferes with the militarization of street communism or "volunteer neighborhood patrols", the federal government is now backed into a corner: and that corner is DC, and the proof of it is the razor wire and troops.

They've basically surrounded themselves with their enemies, not realizing the age old wisdom "keep your friends close and your enemies closer" only works if you have more friends than enemies to begin with.

You know what they say: you can piss off some of the people all of the time, and piss off all of the people some of the time, but you can't piss off all of the people all of the time. Not if you want to survive anyway.