I've been making predictions now for while, based on a variety of factors, and am going to start posting both old and new ones going forward.
First some chatter, selected from a large log of discussions across the net. Highlighting a general pattern of thought, rumor, and discussion.
Chatter #1
>With Scalise finally coming to the realization that he and 21 other members of the House, as well as 3 Senators were the target of one of the largest assassination attempts in American history, it's possible some of the other Republicans will also begin acting as if the Democrats really do want them dead!
If the mad dog killer had succeeded the House would have fallen into Pelosi's hands, and the Senate would have gone over to Schumer!
It's NOT SAFE for any of them to enter the Capitol ~ first off, there are would be assassins already working there, some of them members. And, Cho Bi Dinh has blocked their ability to escape except by leaving through the House and/or Senate parking garages!
Chatter #2
>[Undocumented. summary only]
Chatter talks about the setup for a major attack on republicans and what the anonymous user thinks might happen. General sentiment from the left, and specific patterns highlighted, 1. their verbal desire to kill congress, 2. followed by examples of attacks that occurred after each instance, esp. baseball field attack.
analysis
Capitol attack failed. The left has obviously abandoned its base assuming it doesn't have to answer to them, and that appears to be the case. Needs a crisis. Crisis can't happen against china. Crisis must be internal. Texas insufficient, though scenarios of various instability and minor civil conflict events cannot be ruled out.
Left rapidly deteriorating (70% LIKELY), needs to consolidate power. A terrorist attack on congress, more controlled, contained, and specifically against the right, would precisely effect their desired outcome.
Right is not cooperating, GOP leadership resisting efforts to start domestic 'war on terror' against "right wing extremists."
Need to be brought over, necessitating such an event manufactured by the state.
60% LIKELY in next 90-180 days. (adjusted to 120-210 days to account for lag time between model and states own timeline)
Conclusion might be higher, but right now its based on idle chatter, and theres some debate over whether or not the pentagon has declared martial law (70% LIKELY).
And whether that pentagon is working with (40%) or against the chinese coup (60%) of the u.s. government.
Also, another crisis would do it, and there is some debate on whether or not the virus may 'mutate', potentially prompted by vaccines, leading to a deadly new outbreak. This would also accomplish provoking the citizenry against new much more strict lockdown measures, many of which (citizens) are no longer listening to the news and reportedly have no confidence whatsoever in any mainstream outlets. Because of these factors, and because they have previously been lead to believe (correctly) that the outbreak is a hoax, any new escalation, the-boy-who-cried-wolf style of narrative about "new deadly strains!" is likely to be met not merely with disbelief, but open hostility, necessitating state use of force, escalating anti-government sentiment thats long been brewing among extremists on all sides, and ordinary citizens continually kept in a state of crisis, economic destruction, political violence and upheaval provoked by the media and journalism industry.
This last scenario appears increasingly likely in light of this analysis and further consideration. I rate it 70% likely within no later than one year of this date, but possibly sooner, with the secondary "early" range having an upperlimit of 6-7 months from the date of this analysis.
(post is archived)