It took me a while to come up with a hypothesis to Russia's game plan here after following the troop movements, as much as we can, carefully over the past few days.
I couldn't wrap my head around the lack of air power projection. In Syria, 25-30 planes on a dirt runway were flying 250-400 bombing sorties a fucking day. Where's the air force here?
I think they're purposefully going for a slow march, with old equipment, giving the Ukranian leadership a false semblance of hope. They're quickly tightening the noose a few days... and then loosening... tightening for a few days and then loosening.
Their goal is to create maximum panic amongst the command leadership, and you can't have panic if you have resignation. The longer this goes on and the more panic they create, the more war crimes they keep comitting.
Look at Mariupol and the murder of the escaping civilians. Holding the civilians of the southern cities hostage. Placing their armor in residential areas, next to schools, hospitals. The forced conscription. The guns to civilians in Kiev that ended up in the hands of gangs who looted and shot each other up last night. Telling citizens to throw molotov cocktails at fucking tanks. The residential shelling of the Donbass.
The longer this goes on, the more the Ukrainians will support Russia.
Why hasn't Russia cut of their internet? Disrupted communications to protect troop movements?
They want the Ukranians talking to each other and the longer this goes on, the harder it will be for the Ukranian Nazis to hide what they're doing from the citizens.
It took me a while to come up with a hypothesis to Russia's game plan here after following the troop movements, as much as we can, carefully over the past few days.
I couldn't wrap my head around the lack of air power projection. In Syria, 25-30 planes on a dirt runway were flying 250-400 bombing sorties a fucking day. Where's the air force here?
I think they're purposefully going for a slow march, with old equipment, giving the Ukranian leadership a false semblance of hope. They're quickly tightening the noose a few days... and then loosening... tightening for a few days and then loosening.
Their goal is to create maximum panic amongst the command leadership, and you can't have panic if you have resignation. The longer this goes on and the more panic they create, the more war crimes they keep comitting.
Look at Mariupol and the murder of the escaping civilians. Holding the civilians of the southern cities hostage. Placing their armor in residential areas, next to schools, hospitals. The forced conscription. The guns to civilians in Kiev that ended up in the hands of gangs who looted and shot each other up last night. Telling citizens to throw molotov cocktails at fucking tanks. The residential shelling of the Donbass.
The longer this goes on, the more the Ukrainians will support Russia.
Why hasn't Russia cut of their internet? Disrupted communications to protect troop movements?
They want the Ukranians talking to each other and the longer this goes on, the harder it will be for the Ukranian Nazis to hide what they're doing from the citizens.
(post is archived)