It's not about direct hit. It's about over the next year that all the radioactive crap floating around in the northern hemisphere reaches the southern hemisphere in the cesium and everything else makes it pretty much just as bad as what's left in the northern hemisphere. Now of course you do miss the initial nuclear strikes.
Every single NATO country is on the russian "nuke it to shit ASAP" list in case of nuclear conflict. Of course NATO nuclear powers are on top of that list, and they happen to all be concentrated in the northern emisphere
France has 50 nuclear powerplants in activity, amond other things
So yeah, I definitely think the southern emisphere will remain the better option, while the northern one will be too much of a mess, way too much
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