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I own a couple of retail businesses. Through Covid I saw supply chain problems move pricing on the retail side. Now, I'm seeing wholesale prices change week to week on products with little past fluctuation. Some of this can be attributed to unusually high demand for freight as economies re-emerge, and tight labor markets. I fear that these reasons however, are hiding immediate inflation problems being signaled in commodities and by a parabolic monetary supply. What happens when prices increase 30% after existing inventory is depleted?

I own a couple of retail businesses. Through Covid I saw supply chain problems move pricing on the retail side. Now, I'm seeing wholesale prices change week to week on products with little past fluctuation. Some of this can be attributed to unusually high demand for freight as economies re-emerge, and tight labor markets. I fear that these reasons however, are hiding immediate inflation problems being signaled in commodities and by a parabolic monetary supply. What happens when prices increase 30% after existing inventory is depleted?

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[–] • 13 pts

The way I see it, wuhan started the problem. Now the Wuhan effect is being blamed for decades of unfettered mismanaged economic policies (I simply call this theft. You may also refer to this as Keynesian economics). Then you have the false flags where shipping is disrupted and cyberattacks against key businesses are implemented to cause yet more economic damage.

We are targets of a war. This is still early stages.

[–] • 5 pts

Anyone who thinks this is hyperbolic needs to study fifth generation warfare as the chinese teach it. The chinese are fighting a fifth gen war against us in the open and either military incompetence or the leadership of traitors is responsible for our inaction.

I disagree that this is the early stage, china has been probing us for just this time with light attacks for a decade.

Just as bickering children in the back sat of car can't whip out hammers and beat each other to death or terrorists can't simply hijack a plane by firing at anyone who resists them, they risk puncturing the hull. 5th generation warfare is for nations who possess nukes and cannot directly clash in open combat or risk Mutually Assured Destruction.

[+] [deleted] • 0 pt
[–] • 2 pts

You may also refer to this as Keynesian economics

This dude gets it.

[–] • 7 pts (edited )

I guess millions should of called our representatives over the stolen election, instead of bitching online about it. So let's enjoy the soaring prices and just vent about it. Maybe folks will get off the covid-19 unemployment check and get back to work.

[–] • 7 pts

millions should of called our representatives over the stolen election, instead of bitching online about it.

Yeah and they should have wrote a letter too while they were at it. Hell maybe they could have even started or signed a petition. That would have really gotten their attention!

[–] • 6 pts

Our representatives don't care. Once they get their meal ticket to Washington we're left in the dust.

[–] • 4 pts

We are good little goys and have kept our mouths shut cause it's easier to do.

[–] • 3 pts

Or maybe they are ignoring the people who are saying something because what they are saying is not considered a credible threat to their power.

[–] • 4 pts

Yes , a strongly worded letter or two may have changed everything

[+] [deleted] • 2 pts
[–] • 6 pts (edited )

When you print 30% of all dollars in circulation in one year, prices going up 30% is not a big stretch. You are funding big tech's astronomical energy consumption costs, you are being taxed for their benefit. They want you to pay for the energy they consume so they can keep getting paid for blasting propaganda to you.

By using the government to subsidize their expenses the bosses will make even more money. They're all socialists and this is what commie pinkos do. They make everyone live like gutter shit, while we work to support their stupid schemes. Right Bezos? That little masturbation box will cure all the ills from your communist corporation.

Well fuck that noise, fuck Jack Dorsey, stupid faggot and the birds nest on his chin.

[–] [deleted] • 4 pts

When you print 30% of all dollars in circulation in one year, prices going up 30% is not a big stretch

Yes

You are funding big tech's astronomical energy consumption costs, you are being taxed for their benefit.

No.

Big tech is a piece of it, but debt, demand, supply chain, oil prices, etc all play a part…a bigger part…as well

[–] • 0 pt

Of course big oil supplies the energy to big tech. They want to keep it that way.

[–] • 6 pts

I deliver freight. The price of building materials , electrical , has doubled or even close to tripled. Shit that was ordered 6 months ago priced at say 400 bucks , they're getting just now, with an adjusted price of 8-900 bucks.

[–] • 3 pts

I delivered a load of pallets a couple of weeks ago. The broker was blowing up my phone and trying to get me to download one of their stupid fucking tracking apps like I was pulling a high value load or something.

[–] • 2 pts

Welll lumber has skyrocketed , I bet wooden pallets have jumped way up too, but yeah , kinda ridiculous.

[–] • 4 pts

Should I sell my toothpicks online now or wait a bit?

[–] • 4 pts

Industry I work in we use commodities.

Plastic prices in the last year have gone up almost double.

The steel we use has doubled.

Copper is going up 5-10% every other month.

Biggest issue is availability and fluctuations.

Let’s take Best Buy as an example of what we deal with. You want a particular TV, you go to Beat Buy to get it. They don’t have it, none have it in stock. Can order from manufacture but cannot guarantee when or if it will ship. Okay, well get me one with the same specs. Alright that one is $100 more. Call the wife/end customer/whoever to make sure a change is okay. They approve. You tell Best Buy you will take it but the price went up in the time you made the phone call. They can’t guarantee the price for longer than a few minutes (for what we do it’s 3-4 days on the items we order but same process) Now you are in a situation where you were contracted to give a TV at a price, the price of the TV changed because availability and the customer accepted a change with an expectation to pay $100 more, who pays for that last price increase? This is where it’s getting extremely difficult for small businesses in cut throat industries to continue to operate. It’s difficult for any business to be profitable and competitive with the supply chain broken.

[–] • 3 pts

I worked with a bunch of Romanians years ago, right after their run with hyperinflation through the 1990s. That dynamic sounds very similar to the stories they told.

[–] • 1 pt

I'm an electrician. A few weeks ago, every time i visited the supply house, i had to ask if they could sell me wire. Now they have all the wire i could need but the price has gone up 400%.

[–] • 4 pts

You are seeing some costs now. By Q3 of this year things are going to get a lot worse.

[–] • 1 pt

Right. Wait until we see hyperinflation take hold. Remember seeing wheelbarrows of cash being brought into a store to buy a roll of toilet paper. If you think this is not happening and where we are headed, i've got some land to sell you on mars.

[–] [deleted] • 3 pts

Beef prices are up 30-40% in the last six months.

[–] • 1 pt

And everything else you buy. Gas has over doubled, some places tripled which means EVERYTHING on that truck, the price tag just went up.

[–] • 3 pts

Read "when money dies" by Adam Ferguson, "Five stages of collapse" by Dmitri Orlov, and "Mao's great famine" by Frank Dikötter for a sneak peak of what is soon coming next.

[–] • 0 pt

Why do you think billy boy gates is buying up all farmland across the entire country?? When you control the food, you get to decide who starves and who eats. And just like china, your social score determines your mortality. Don't think that will happen, look at how well the sheep were trained to mask up.

[–] • 0 pt

That's ok I heard fasting I'd gud fer ya.

[–] • 3 pts

These price increases are about to slam right into a collapse in sales.

Stagflation. Haven't seen that since the 1970's. In the 1970's, it was a result of both money printing and a tenfold increase in OPEC oil prices. Reagan fixed that with double digit interest rates and the Iran Iraq war. That stopped the out of control lending. Millions died, but those oil prices came back down for a while. Stagflation ended and normal economic growth returned. Then the lenders started a housing and stock market boom which collapsed around '88 or so. The Bush 1 recession. Greenspan Fed. Greenspan just printed money for 20 straight years.

I remember the panic in the early 1990's. Before then, to get a credit card, you had to have assets. They panicked and started issuing easy credit to everyone, no questions asked - a gold card with a $5000 limit. They replaced wages with credit, and that system has held to this day.

You should have seen the sales in the early 90's. Vendors desperate for cash, everything 50% off or more. The flea market was the busiest place in town, for at least three years. Malls were empty except at Christmas. Retailers closed at record rates.

We will see all that again if they are not extremely careful with what they do next.

Unfortunately, utopians are bad with math. They have abandoned all hope of monetary restraint, so it's looking at another Wiemar scenario. Loss of currency value. The Fed has another money printer at the helm.

If I were you I would be preparing to downsize the operations. You need to preserve your capital.

Take a serious look at the liquidations business. The math is outstanding. I made a bucket load of money in liquidations during the great recession. In the face of high inflation two distinct things happen. First, retailers go under at record rates. Second, everyone starts shopping harder and buying less. They are looking for deals and pay much closer attention to the prices. Neither of these things happen in good times.

People still buy. The retailers who bring the best prices are the ones who profit. Those retailers are the liquidators who buy inventory at 10 cents on the retail dollar from other bankrupt retailers, and sell it for 50% off retail price. Profit is 400% less expenses.

[–] • 3 pts

I think a huge part of this is the ongoing restrictions in California at the ports, ships have to wait at sea for up to a week or more to come to port as per the containment protocols set up therein, spoilage and delays along with delays in national shipping due to fuel prices and a shortage of truck drivers are driving supply inconsistencies beyond just the "Evergiven" blockage in the suez and it's echoes, supply companies are folding under restrictions, hoarding on an international scale and over ordering in anticipation of shortages are causing problems in serious markets like semiconductors. Finding a rental car in alaska is about impossible right now because of the shortage in semiconductors breaking the modern "Just in time" supply chains, that's an edge case but it's happening all over; all of this is causing market confidence in every sector to evaporate and we take this for granted but confidence in our dollar and in supply chains are why US prices have been historically stable and capable of tight margins on goods. I don't think the inflation should be an issue for another 5-15 months.

Inflation takes a fair bit of time to set in and it's based on practical monetary supply, confidence issues from anticipation of inflation have arrived but mostly our problems are supply chain oriented practical issues along with distrust of stability in supply chains and bad interpretation of business data are driving excessive orders to meet demand; corporatism and globalism have made our supply networks FAR too fragile.

[–] • 2 pts

unsettling? were you just born last night?

If you could not see this coming from a thousand miles away you are fucking blind

doesn't anybody use their fucking brains anymore?

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