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187

Trump won 2016 with 6% of the black vote, 28% of the Hispanic vote, and 54% of the white vote. According to the , in 2020 Trump received 35% of the Hispanic vote, 8% of the black vote, and 55% of the white vote. The puts it even higher: 11% black, 32% Hispanic, and 58% white.

Trump supposedly lost the election because of losing heavily black cities in Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. There's no mathematical way that those two things can be reconciled. It doesn't matter how many voters turned out. If a larger percentage voted for Trump than in 2016, his margin of victory should be increased from 2016 by the same amount.

What am I missing?

Trump won 2016 with 6% of the black vote, 28% of the Hispanic vote, and 54% of the white vote. According to the [WSJ](https://www.wsj.com/graphics/votecast-2020/), in 2020 Trump received 35% of the Hispanic vote, 8% of the black vote, and 55% of the white vote. The [New York Times ](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-president.html)puts it even higher: 11% black, 32% Hispanic, and 58% white. Trump supposedly lost the election because of losing heavily black cities in Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. There's no mathematical way that those two things can be reconciled. It doesn't matter how many voters turned out. If a larger percentage voted for Trump than in 2016, his margin of victory should be increased from 2016 by the same amount. What am I missing?

(post is archived)

[–] 2 pts

He's part of whatever is going on.