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Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest. He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand. Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless. It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one. Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages. It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority. It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone. Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts. We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10569141/Putin-NOT-crazy-Russian-invasion-NOT-failing-writes-military-analyst-BILL-ROGGIO.html

> Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest. > He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand. > Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless. > It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one. > Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages. > It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority. > It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone. > Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts. > We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10569141/Putin-NOT-crazy-Russian-invasion-NOT-failing-writes-military-analyst-BILL-ROGGIO.html

(post is archived)

[–] 5 pts (edited )

We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament.

True.

In 2014, Putin occupied and annexed the strategic Ukrainian region of Crimea, which served as a launchpad for the current invasion.

Bullshit.

The 80% ethnic Russian population of Crimea voted to separate from Ukraine. Putin did not occupy Crimea. Putin did not annex Crimea. The people of Crimea voted to separate from Ukraine.

Since 2014, the Ukrainian government has been ethnically cleansing their country of ethnic Russians. In order to prevent the ethnic Russians in the East from separating with more of their country.

Meanwhile, Ukraine is trying create a Ukraine for Ukrainians by ridding itself of foreign influence. And they're trying to prevent a bunch of immigrants from stealing more chunks of their country. All while the

So, will Ukraine become a country for Ukrainians and stop a bunch of immigrants from stealing more of their country away from them? Or will the ethnically diverse Russia seize control of Ukraine? Or will Ukraine remain under Jewish control and be turned into the Jew's second Israel and become Khazaria?

[–] 0 pt

And the troops that seized Crimea were already there. They were local troops just not under satanic orders

[–] 0 pt

Troops? Seized?

Do you think Putin came flying in on a MIG shooting missiles and conquered Crimea? That's not what happened.

The people in Crimea voted to not be a part of Ukraine. 83% turnout with more than 95% voting to not be a part of Ukraine. Crimea wasn't seized.

Although, the rest of Ukraine did later become fully under control of the "Satanists", otherwise known as the Anti-Christ, otherwise known as the Jews.

[–] 0 pt

The globalists claimed that Putin sent in troops to enforce the vote results. Nope they were already there was my point

[–] 3 pts

Putin doesn't play by the deep state rules and doesn't care about thier propaganda.

Best of all, he doesn't care about "optics"

[–] [deleted] 2 pts

I said something like this on another forum and got blasted. But I agree with your post, Russia have prepared for this invasion probably since 2014. The fact that they took over Chernobyl, a decommissioned nuclear power plant, shows that they probably predicted or have info that Ukraine might blow it up as a last resort. Those reactors are the RMBK design that can explode and release massive amount of radiation, it would've cost Russia billions to clean up.

Putin probably didn't expect such stiff resistance from Ukraine so he sent the minimum amount of military initially. But it's becoming clear that's not enough, so he's sending more troops and firing more missiles. As long as the US doesn't intervene militarily, Russia will take Ukraine, even if it takes a month, that's why Putin is threatening the West with nukes, if the US and other countries intervene then they no longer have the fire power advantage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2SLYK4slWk

[–] 2 pts

Yep, this nonsense that a bunch of urban Ukrainians can do anything against the Russian army is just ridiculous, they are not the mujahideen, they are 1st World shelf stackers and taxi drivers

They have no air cover so eventually their areas will be encircled, and then it's just a matter of attrition. Nobody is coming to save them

[–] 0 pt

Russia isn't using a lot of its own airpower and mostly at night.

I think they are seriously holding back. Just doing enough to slowly win.

[–] 1 pt

I think they are seriously holding back. Just doing enough to slowly win.

Yep, there's no point in creating future martyrs, he had that in Chechnya, and since the West can't do anything to stop them, then taking the time to gather intelligence on positions is tactically better

I read somewhere he budgeted 50K personnel losses and he's only (reportedly) lost 1% of his tanks so far. Even that is meaningless as the T-14 is planned and part of the Amarta program was to melt down 4,000 armoured vehicles anyway.

The whole enterprise seems to be a bad idea as its GDP is dependant upon exporting raw materials, so if it can't trade then it's now North Korea.

[–] 0 pt

The gdp cost to Russia is a fraction of the gdp loss to the rest of the world.

The sanctions are traitorous.

Putin knew the cost. We don't

[–] 1 pt

What's for sure is that he planned what he did, while the "world community" improvised a response...

Anyways, I think people give too much of a fuck about people who never gave a fuck about them and who would probably not help them at all in similar circumstances if the situation were to be inverted

[+] [deleted] 0 pt