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Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest. He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand. Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless. It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one. Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages. It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority. It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone. Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts. We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10569141/Putin-NOT-crazy-Russian-invasion-NOT-failing-writes-military-analyst-BILL-ROGGIO.html

> Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest. > He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand. > Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless. > It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one. > Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages. > It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority. > It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone. > Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts. > We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10569141/Putin-NOT-crazy-Russian-invasion-NOT-failing-writes-military-analyst-BILL-ROGGIO.html

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[–] [deleted] • 2 pts

I said something like this on another forum and got blasted. But I agree with your post, Russia have prepared for this invasion probably since 2014. The fact that they took over Chernobyl, a decommissioned nuclear power plant, shows that they probably predicted or have info that Ukraine might blow it up as a last resort. Those reactors are the RMBK design that can explode and release massive amount of radiation, it would've cost Russia billions to clean up.

Putin probably didn't expect such stiff resistance from Ukraine so he sent the minimum amount of military initially. But it's becoming clear that's not enough, so he's sending more troops and firing more missiles. As long as the US doesn't intervene militarily, Russia will take Ukraine, even if it takes a month, that's why Putin is threatening the West with nukes, if the US and other countries intervene then they no longer have the fire power advantage.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2SLYK4slWk